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Red90
479542.1
482937.9
205917.8
Blue80
456130.5
264230.9
322923.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088860801001201401609080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.2
42.542.3
Auto11.0
Teleop24.7
End6.3
red by 11.1
30.90.1
31.030.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.3
End11.0
Second
37.90.2
38.438.2
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End12.1
red by 7.4
30.50.1
30.730.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End9.6
Third
2059
#17
17.80.2
18.218.0
Auto6.6
Teleop3.7
End7.4
blue by 5.5
3229
#28
23.30.1
23.423.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End3.5