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Red43
373715.5
551110.5
153327.8
Blue7
51905.8
5160-1.4
350615.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions772104060100120140160437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.82.0
34.832.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.4
End4.7
red by 12.0
15.81.2
21.019.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Second
15.52.0
13.811.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End9.8
red by 9.7
5.81.2
7.25.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.9
Third
5511
#10
10.52.0
16.014.0
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End2.4
red by 12.0
5160
#17
-1.41.2
-2.5-3.8
Auto0.7
Teleop-1.0
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed