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Red34
51905.8
60047.3
373715.5
Blue21
99983.7
87384.1
350615.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31240102040506070803421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.4
12.713.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End9.8
blue by 0.3
15.80.3
17.617.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Second
7.30.4
8.99.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End2.6
red by 3.2
8738
#15
4.10.3
4.64.4
Auto3.8
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
Third
5.80.4
5.96.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.9
red by 2.1
3.70.4
2.72.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned6%Hangar oddsMissed