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Red75
482944.0
26407.8
99983.7
Blue38
60047.3
58719.8
153327.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536701001502002503003507538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.7
43.344.0
Auto15.8
Teleop20.5
End7.8
red by 16.2
27.81.7
29.527.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.4
End4.7
Second
2640
#14
7.80.7
7.17.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.3
End4.1
blue by 12.0
587
#12
19.81.7
21.519.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Third
3.71.0
2.73.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.5
End1.5
blue by 3.6
7.31.7
9.17.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed