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Red45
479520.9
650019.6
51604.8
Blue32
32299.0
456116.4
87463.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55270204060801004532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.1
21.721.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End5.7
red by 4.6
16.40.1
16.316.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End7.4
Second
19.60.1
20.420.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End11.6
red by 10.6
9.00.1
8.99.0
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.5
Third
5160
#23
4.80.1
5.65.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
red by 1.0
8746
#22
3.70.1
3.73.7
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1