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Red32
32299.0
456116.4
87463.7
Blue27
48163.6
86349.3
80904.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33150102040506070803227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.0
16.316.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End7.4
red by 7.0
9.30.1
9.19.2
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.1
End7.5
Second
9.00.0
8.98.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.5
red by 4.4
8090
#18
4.60.2
4.34.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.2
End3.0
Third
8746
#22
3.70.0
3.73.6
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1
red by 0.1
4816
#26
3.60.1
3.43.5
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9