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Red4
48163.6
62141.7
4354.6
Blue2
453412.3
77150.7
55116.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213501030405060708042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#11
4.61.9
10.38.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.2
End0.8
blue by 7.7
4534
#13
12.33.2
13.210.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End7.6
Second
4816
#26
3.61.9
5.63.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 2.8
5511
#21
6.33.2
12.89.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.3
Third
6214
#32DQ
1.71.9
5.63.7
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.6
End2.2
red by 1.1
7715
#19
0.73.2
4.91.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed