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Red12
264211.9
65652.0
88042.6
Blue9
62141.7
60043.2
87463.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231102030405060129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.91.8
11.49.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End4.8
red by 8.2
8746
#22
3.70.8
5.14.4
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Second
8804
#28
2.61.8
4.32.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
blue by 0.6
6004
#33
3.20.8
4.33.5
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End1.0
Third
6565
#20
2.01.8
4.32.5
Auto0.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
red by 0.3
6214
#32DQ
1.70.8
2.61.8
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed