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Red10
57623.5
453412.3
62141.7
Blue3
87383.2
87463.7
65652.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19903040506070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#13
12.30.7
9.48.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End7.6
red by 8.5
8746
#22
3.70.8
5.24.4
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Second
5762
#17
3.50.7
6.15.4
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End1.2
red by 0.3
8738
#27
3.20.8
2.61.8
Auto0.6
Teleop1.5
End1.0
Third
6214
#32
1.70.7
0.80.1
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.6
End2.2
blue by 0.3
6565
#20
2.00.8
2.21.5
Auto0.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed