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Red13
55116.3
205913.2
62401.5
Blue22
88042.6
33367.9
80904.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211501030405060701322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#12
13.20.7
9.58.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.0
red by 5.3
7.90.8
8.99.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Second
5511
#21
6.30.7
5.95.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.3
red by 1.8
8090
#18
4.60.8
2.83.6
Auto1.3
Teleop0.2
End3.0
Third
6240
#31
1.50.7
3.62.9
Auto0.3
Teleop0.5
End0.8
blue by 1.1
8804
#28
2.60.8
3.34.1
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed