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Red28
69082.8
479520.9
86349.3
Blue35
205913.2
83048.0
87463.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341604060802835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.2
15.515.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End5.7
red by 7.7
2059
#12
13.21.8
8.810.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.0
Second
9.30.2
8.98.7
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.1
End7.5
red by 1.4
8.01.8
5.37.1
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End4.5
Third
6908
#29
2.80.2
5.45.2
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End0.9
blue by 0.9
8746
#22
3.71.8
3.55.3
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed