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Red12
60043.2
88042.6
32299.0
Blue32
65652.0
51604.8
456116.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1625010203040506070801232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.00.4
8.17.7
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.5
blue by 7.4
16.40.1
15.415.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End7.4
Second
6004
#33
3.20.4
4.13.7
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End1.0
blue by 1.6
5160
#23
4.80.1
5.96.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Third
8804
#28
2.60.4
4.13.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
red by 0.6
6565
#20
2.00.1
1.51.6
Auto0.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed