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Red21
82054.9
264211.9
87463.7
Blue32
67292.4
51604.8
42919.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24160102030405060702132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.90.5
11.310.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End4.8
red by 2.6
9.30.4
7.16.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End2.5
Second
8205
#25DQ
4.90.5
5.24.7
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7
red by 0.1
5160
#23
4.80.4
6.05.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Third
8746
#22
3.70.5
5.34.8
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1
red by 1.4
6729
#24
2.40.4
3.32.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed