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Red28
456116.4
87583.3
48163.6
Blue7
33367.9
57623.5
65652.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21160103040506070287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.8
15.516.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End7.4
red by 8.5
7.90.9
9.89.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Second
4816
#26
3.60.8
2.23.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
red by 0.1
5762
#17
3.50.9
4.03.1
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Third
8758
#30
3.30.8
1.62.4
Auto1.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
red by 1.3
6565
#20
2.00.8
1.60.8
Auto0.8
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed