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Red4
48163.6
62401.5
83048.0
Blue59
4354.6
453412.3
205913.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194106080100459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.01.9
6.64.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End4.5
blue by 5.3
2059
#12
13.20.5
11.110.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.0
Second
4816
#26
3.61.9
7.55.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 8.7
4534
#13
12.30.5
13.713.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End7.6
Third
6240
#31
1.51.9
6.74.8
Auto0.3
Teleop0.5
End0.8
blue by 3.1
435
#11
4.60.5
10.810.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned