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Red68
42919.3
479520.9
453412.3
Blue20
87583.3
205913.2
57623.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381701030506070806820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.92.9
16.819.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End5.7
red by 7.7
2059
#12
13.20.1
13.513.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.0
Second
4534
#13
12.32.9
9.712.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End7.6
red by 8.8
5762
#17
3.50.1
3.43.6
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Third
9.32.9
6.49.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End2.5
red by 6.1
8758
#30
3.30.1
1.61.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed