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Red40
479520.9
48163.6
87383.2
Blue29
33367.9
86349.3
650019.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23440103040506070804029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.2
19.720.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End5.7
red by 1.3
19.60.7
20.219.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End11.6
Second
4816
#26
3.61.2
2.23.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 5.7
9.30.7
9.89.1
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.1
End7.5
Third
8738
#27
3.21.2
2.13.3
Auto0.6
Teleop1.5
End1.0
blue by 4.7
7.90.8
8.47.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsMissed