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Red18
479520.9
67292.4
62401.5
Blue13
83048.0
60043.2
87583.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251901030405060701813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
9.89.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End5.7
red by 13.0
8.01.0
4.73.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End4.5
Second
6729
#24
2.40.5
7.87.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.1
blue by 0.9
8758
#30
3.31.0
6.45.4
Auto1.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Third
6240
#31
1.50.5
4.84.3
Auto0.3
Teleop0.5
End0.8
blue by 1.7
6004
#33
3.21.0
7.36.2
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed