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Red20
32299.0
456116.4
87463.7
Blue26
453412.3
33367.9
82054.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32250102040506070802026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.2
16.316.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End7.4
red by 4.1
4534
#13
12.30.0
12.012.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End7.6
Second
9.00.2
8.98.7
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.5
red by 1.1
7.90.0
7.67.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Third
8746
#22
3.70.2
3.63.5
Auto1.1
Teleop0.5
End2.1
blue by 1.1
8205
#25
4.90.0
4.64.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End1.7