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Red100
153334.9
479536.4
875712.5
Blue18
345913.3
551814.9
205915.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8841020608010012014016010018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.4
34.134.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.2
End6.3
red by 21.3
2059
#23
15.20.6
15.715.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End6.1
Second
34.90.4
32.633.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 20.0
5518
#11
14.90.6
15.414.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End-1.3
Third
8757
#13
12.50.4
10.210.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
blue by 0.7
3459
#16
13.30.6
13.813.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End5.9