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Red45
51606.4
58729.6
56796.5
Blue13
456122.6
56074.8
80903.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34280204060804513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#6
29.60.9
19.620.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End10.2
red by 7.0
22.60.9
16.615.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.8
Second
5679
#27
6.50.9
7.78.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End3.0
red by 1.7
5607
#26
4.81.6
7.15.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Third
5160
#29
6.40.9
3.54.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End-0.1
red by 3.2
8090
#30
3.30.9
3.42.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed