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Red67
479536.4
87387.6
345913.3
Blue59
84297.7
456122.6
650227.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494930406070806759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.1
26.127.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.2
End6.3
red by 9.2
6502
#14
27.20.3
24.524.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Second
3459
#16
13.31.1
14.515.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End5.9
blue by 9.4
22.60.3
15.615.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.8
Third
8738
#21
7.61.1
5.46.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End3.0
blue by 0.1
8429
#22
7.70.3
6.16.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed