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Red64
153334.9
482917.4
87387.6
Blue79
456122.6
519022.0
744317.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475702040801006479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.0
25.026.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 12.3
22.61.5
15.917.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.8
Second
4829
#15
17.41.6
13.815.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End9.4
blue by 4.6
22.01.5
20.321.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End7.0
Third
8738
#21
7.61.0
6.57.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End3.0
blue by 9.7
7443
#18
17.22.6
15.618.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsMissed