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Red55
572726.3
56796.5
80903.3
Blue64
744317.2
264013.5
205915.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060805564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#12
26.30.3
24.024.3
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End4.5
red by 9.1
7443
#18
17.22.3
18.220.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End5.3
Second
5679
#27
6.50.3
8.58.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End3.0
blue by 8.7
2059
#23
15.21.4
14.816.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End6.1
Third
8090
#30
3.30.3
2.02.3
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.2
End1.8
blue by 10.3
13.51.4
10.611.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned