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Red61
153334.9
264013.5
76719.1
Blue41
345913.3
519022.0
38226.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524702060801001201401606141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.8
29.230.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 12.9
22.00.2
22.622.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End7.0
Second
13.50.8
12.313.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 0.3
3459
#16
13.30.2
16.516.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End5.9
Third
7671
#20
9.10.8
6.87.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End1.4
red by 2.9
3822
#24
6.20.2
5.55.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed