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Red25
80903.3
76719.1
789027.5
Blue10
265520.3
429110.1
66395.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060801002510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.7
26.025.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End6.3
red by 7.3
20.31.4
15.113.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Second
7671
#20
9.10.7
7.66.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End1.4
blue by 1.0
4291
#17
10.11.4
10.89.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Third
8090
#30
3.30.7
2.61.8
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.2
End1.8
blue by 2.4
6639
#31
5.71.4
4.93.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed