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Red45
58729.6
551814.9
56074.8
Blue58
264013.5
87387.6
456122.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454802060801001204558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#6
29.60.2
25.826.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End10.2
red by 7.0
22.60.9
21.922.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.8
Second
5518
#11
14.90.2
12.312.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End-1.3
red by 1.4
13.50.9
14.215.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
5607
#26
4.80.3
4.24.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 2.7
8738
#21
7.60.9
8.69.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned