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Red88
875712.5
479536.4
789027.5
Blue68
572726.3
38226.2
153334.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70622040801001208868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.6
31.132.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.2
End6.3
red by 1.5
34.90.3
29.529.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
Second
27.51.6
25.326.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End6.3
red by 1.2
5727
#12
26.30.3
24.524.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
8757
#13
12.52.3
8.210.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
red by 6.3
3822
#24
6.20.3
5.65.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed