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Red16
38226.2
87464.3
84297.7
Blue18
875712.5
62403.4
551814.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132203040506070801618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#22
7.70.2
6.26.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End3.0
blue by 7.2
5518
#11
14.90.4
10.09.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End-1.3
Second
3822
#24
6.20.2
3.53.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End0.6
blue by 6.3
8757
#13
12.50.3
7.27.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
Third
8746
#28
4.30.2
3.73.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End2.8
red by 1.0
6240
#25
3.40.4
1.51.2
Auto0.4
Teleop0.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed