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Red53
66395.7
58729.6
87464.3
Blue21
482917.4
80903.3
38226.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35260204060801005321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#6
29.61.4
26.027.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End10.2
red by 12.2
4829
#15
17.40.4
17.517.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End9.4
Second
6639
#31
5.71.4
3.24.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.9
blue by 0.5
3822
#24
6.20.3
5.95.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End0.6
Third
8746
#28
4.31.4
2.74.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End2.8
red by 1.1
8090
#30
3.30.3
1.91.6
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed