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Red89
650026.3
153334.9
265520.3
Blue9
875712.5
87387.6
56796.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions832104060100120140899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.3
29.330.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 22.4
8757
#13
12.51.8
10.38.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
Second
26.31.3
24.025.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End13.6
red by 18.7
8738
#21
7.61.5
9.17.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End3.0
Third
20.31.3
16.417.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End6.3
red by 13.7
5679
#27
6.51.5
8.06.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed