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Red109
153334.9
479536.4
875712.5
Blue71
456122.6
58729.6
87464.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885520408010012014016010971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.6
34.635.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.2
End6.3
red by 6.8
587
#6
29.60.3
29.329.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End10.2
Second
34.90.6
33.033.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 12.3
22.60.3
22.322.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.8
Third
8757
#13
12.50.6
10.711.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
red by 8.2
8746
#28
4.30.3
4.04.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End2.8