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Red64
572726.3
650026.3
51606.4
Blue74
650227.2
789027.5
56074.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62612040801006474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#12
26.30.1
26.026.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 1.2
27.50.4
26.827.2
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End6.3
Second
26.30.1
26.026.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End13.6
blue by 1.0
6502
#14
27.20.4
26.526.8
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End1.6
Third
5160
#29
6.40.1
6.16.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End-0.1
red by 1.6
5607
#26
4.80.4
4.14.4
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End0.3