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Red41
65654.5
90026.1
87587.5
Blue51
72704.6
322915.6
482928.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28490204060801001204151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#5
26.10.5
19.620.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End13.1
blue by 2.7
28.80.5
25.125.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End11.5
Second
8758
#26
7.50.5
3.13.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.3
blue by 8.1
3229
#16
15.60.5
11.812.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Third
6565
#28
4.50.5
6.36.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Level
7270
#34
4.60.9
6.37.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed