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Red8
77154.2
72704.6
4356.8
Blue73
493513.3
62145.0
482824.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15410206080100873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#30
6.80.6
6.86.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 17.9
24.71.4
19.721.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
7270
#34
4.61.0
7.26.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End1.7
blue by 8.8
4935
#18
13.31.4
12.113.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End6.3
Third
7715
#23
4.20.6
3.32.7
Auto0.6
Teleop1.3
End2.4
blue by 0.7
6214
#24
5.01.4
3.75.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
4%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned