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Red30
872721.6
88335.2
36618.4
Blue17
62145.0
87587.5
33368.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411602060803017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.3
19.419.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End9.7
red by 13.5
3336
#31
8.10.1
9.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Second
3661
#15
8.40.6
9.58.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End3.3
red by 0.9
8758
#26
7.50.1
3.53.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.3
Third
8833
#25
5.20.3
6.35.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.7
red by 0.3
6214
#24
5.00.1
5.25.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed4%Hangar oddsMissed