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Red44
482824.7
12258.9
57626.5
Blue71
87587.5
67299.2
482928.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43422030506070804471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.6
25.324.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End6.1
blue by 4.1
28.81.3
27.028.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End11.5
Second
1225
#19
8.90.6
9.38.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 0.3
9.21.3
7.08.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Third
5762
#22
6.50.6
6.05.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End2.9
blue by 1.0
8758
#26
7.51.3
5.97.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned