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Red42
688819.1
88335.2
350628.1
Blue9
33368.1
72704.6
493513.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63270204080100429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.1
29.828.7
Auto7.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
red by 14.8
4935
#18
13.31.4
14.212.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End6.3
Second
19.11.1
19.218.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End6.0
red by 11.0
3336
#31
8.11.4
9.17.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Third
8833
#25
5.21.1
5.44.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.7
red by 0.6
7270
#34
4.61.7
6.34.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed