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Red68
429022.9
373722.2
87579.0
Blue76
90026.1
872721.6
88335.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58553040507080906876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#10
22.90.3
22.823.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End4.9
blue by 3.2
900
#5
26.10.5
25.626.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End13.1
Second
22.20.3
22.122.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End8.8
red by 0.6
21.60.5
21.221.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End9.7
Third
8757
#32
9.00.3
9.09.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.6
red by 3.8
8833
#25
5.20.5
4.85.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.7