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Red38
650220.5
65124.0
322918.9
Blue10
453415.5
87572.1
87386.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5636020801001203810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#11
20.51.0
23.722.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
red by 5.0
4534
#22
15.51.7
20.418.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End7.3
Second
3229
#12Sur
18.91.0
21.520.4
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End3.4
red by 12.4
8738
#19Sur
6.51.7
11.69.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End3.1
Third
6512
#15
4.01.0
4.33.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End-0.5
red by 1.9
2.11.7
4.12.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsMissed