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Qual 142022 THOR 3
Red23
87386.5
350622.5
453415.5
Blue11
58725.8
5160-1.0
56790.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67300204060801001201402311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#13
22.52.3
29.5→27.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End2.7
blue by 3.3
587
#6
25.81.7
31.6→29.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End3.4
Second
4534
#22
15.52.3
18.6→16.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End7.3
red by 15.1
5679
#20
0.41.7
-0.5→-2.2
Auto0.1
Teleop-1.5
End1.7
Third
8738
#19
6.52.3
9.9→7.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End3.1
red by 7.4
5160
#25
-1.01.7
1.7→0.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop-0.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed