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Red39
373715.1
519011.7
551115.0
Blue23
650012.7
322918.9
87572.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801003923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.8
19.418.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End8.3
blue by 3.9
3229
#12
18.91.1
20.419.3
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Second
5511
#10
15.00.8
18.217.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End3.5
red by 2.2
6500
#18
12.71.1
17.216.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End4.4
Third
5190
#23
11.70.8
13.112.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End4.5
red by 9.6
2.11.1
2.41.3
Auto2.2
Teleop0.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed