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Red22
56790.4
87386.5
322918.9
Blue58
482819.3
67294.3
479530.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2165040801001202258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#12
18.90.2
19.118.9
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 11.7
30.60.3
30.930.6
Auto10.7
Teleop16.9
End3.0
Second
8738
#19
6.50.2
5.14.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End3.1
blue by 12.9
19.30.3
19.719.3
Auto8.7
Teleop5.7
End4.9
Third
5679
#20
0.40.2
0.60.4
Auto0.1
Teleop-1.5
End1.7
blue by 3.9
6729
#24
4.30.3
4.64.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed