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Red64
313020.6
565323.9
305812.4
Blue63
704820.3
329723.1
617517.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63653040507080901001106463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.1
24.724.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End11.1
red by 0.7
23.10.1
23.123.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End8.9
Second
3130
#15
20.60.1
21.621.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
red by 0.3
7048
#23
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End7.3
Third
3058
#37
12.40.1
13.313.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 5.0
6175
#34
17.40.1
17.417.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End10.1