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Red43
453923.3
703810.2
419820.6
Blue42
436019.7
253812.7
565323.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43423638404446484342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#18
23.30.6
17.116.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End4.5
blue by 0.6
23.90.2
19.920.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End11.1
Second
4198
#32
20.60.6
14.313.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End7.2
red by 0.9
4360
#19
19.70.3
8.48.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End11.0
Third
7038
#25
10.20.6
8.68.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End4.0
blue by 2.5
2538
#36
12.70.3
11.111.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned