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Red54
617517.4
702833.8
313020.6
Blue24
331312.8
8776.8
250817.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513902060801005424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.8
17.818.6
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
red by 16.3
2508
#17
17.41.6
14.212.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End12.2
Second
3130
#15
20.60.8
14.415.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
red by 7.8
3313
#24Sur
12.81.6
13.512.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Third
6175
#34Sur
17.40.8
14.315.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End10.1
red by 10.6
877
#47
6.81.6
10.38.8
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsMissed