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Red22
330011.4
32988.1
436019.7
Blue54
767715.5
453923.3
313421.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275902040801001202254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4360
#19
19.71.3
8.77.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End11.0
blue by 3.6
4539
#18
23.30.3
16.516.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
3300
#44
11.41.3
11.29.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End5.3
blue by 10.1
3134
#12
21.50.2
20.020.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End10.3
Third
3298
#45
8.10.8
9.58.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.1
blue by 7.4
7677
#16
15.50.3
14.514.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsEarned