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Red63
703810.2
767715.5
702833.8
Blue55
305812.4
453923.3
617517.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452030405060706355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.7
18.620.4
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
red by 10.5
4539
#18
23.31.0
16.917.8
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
7677
#16
15.51.7
14.816.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.2
blue by 2.0
6175
#34
17.41.0
15.216.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End10.1
Third
7038
#25
10.21.7
10.011.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End4.0
blue by 2.3
3058
#37
12.40.6
10.210.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned