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Red51
436019.7
313020.6
785815.5
Blue29
72358.6
842217.4
32988.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3635202530404550555129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#15
20.61.9
15.317.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End6.1
red by 3.2
8422
#14
17.40.5
13.413.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.7
Second
4360
#19
19.71.9
7.59.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End11.0
red by 11.1
7235
#43
8.60.5
11.010.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Third
7858
#27
15.51.9
10.912.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End3.8
red by 7.4
3298
#45
8.10.3
8.78.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned