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Red64
645318.0
288330.5
703810.2
Blue51
467417.4
419820.6
245010.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574120801006451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#11
30.51.4
23.324.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End9.2
red by 9.9
4198
#32
20.61.1
13.614.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.0
End7.2
Second
6453
#13
18.01.4
16.618.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End9.7
red by 0.6
4674
#26
17.40.7
17.318.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End12.2
Third
7038
#25
10.21.4
11.512.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End4.0
blue by 0.6
2450
#35
10.71.1
9.911.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned